According to today's Job Approval number on Rasmussen (a great predictor of the vote share an incumbent will receive). Trump is at 48%. If that hold sway, and Biden- like Hillary- gets 89% of the anti-Trump vote ( a very optimistic prediction for Biden), Biden loses the Popular vote 48-46 and Trump holds the 306 Electoral votes he won in 2016. At an absolute minimum, he adds Minnesota and New Hampshire (14 more electoral votes) and Colorado and Virginia could fall his way as well. Indeed, the recent CNN poll bears this out by showing Trump in lead in the battleground states by 7 points. It's no surprise that all the betting markets are putting their money on Trump by almost a double digit average. If the election were today, Trump wins big.
2,868,686 is the number of votes Hillary Clinton won the popular vote by. However, She won 4 States- California, New York, Illinois and Massachusetts with a total of 18,395,837 votes. Almost 28% of her votes nationwide came in those 4 states. She won those states by more than 7,855,000 votes. That netted her no more elector votes than if she had won each of the 4 states by 1 vote.