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"Political science tells us that campaigns are about driving elections towards or away from a natural outcome. When modelers make models, they are trying to predict a ‘natural’ endpoint. There is always the possibility of biasing your actual calculation. Adding in assumptions like fundamentals could be right and could be wrong, but what they represent is basically a hypothesis about where the race ought to be. Making a model like that is a good political science experiment, but we should be clear that we are adding assumptions on top of the polls."Dr Sam Wang
"That model is wrong(Dr Wang's) — not necessarily because it shows Democrats ahead (ours barely shows any Republican advantage), but because it substantially underestimates the uncertainty associated with polling averages and thereby overestimates the win probabilities for candidates with small leads in the polls. This is because instead of estimating the uncertainty empirically — that is, by looking at how accurate polls or polling averages have been in the past — Wang makes several assumptions about how polls behave that don’t check out against the data." Nate Silver
"Political science is Not a science"former President Nixon
WBOKRADIO / Intro To Info - Proudly Invites you to tune in this Saturday Feb 21st At 12:00pm (noon) (eastern time) For A Different Spin On Things.. Tune In As The Fabulous "Mikeisa Best & Queen Of Hearts" Interviews The Very Funny Comedian Nate Royal.. Touring With many great entertainers in the industry.You don't wanna miss this interview...
The Silver Screen Rollcast hits with Episode 2, wrapping up the 2014-2015 Los Angeles Lakers preseason.
We'll be winding down training camp with news and thoughts on all things purple and gold, including the team's performance thus far, how this should affect the upcoming season and what the team's primary rotations should look like. We'll also talk a little bit about Kobe Bean Bryant and Henry Abbott's article on him this week.
Join Ben Rosales, Tom Fehr and Blake (The Great Mambino) for the Silver Screen & Rollcast at 6pm PT/9pm ET tonight!
After the longest Lakers summer in almost a decade, the Silver Screen & Rollcast is back, baby!
Ben Rosales, Blake (The Great Mambino) and Dakota Schmidt open up season 2 of the Rollcast with all the preseason talk you could possibly want, including discussions about new head coach Byron Scott's in-game strategy, how the newcomers look and of course, Kobe Bean Bryant. We'll also have our mailbag, so shoot us some questions via Twitter or in the comments section!
The Silver Screen & Rollcast makes its triumphant return tonight at 6pm PT/9pm ET!
It's a special Saturday baseball edition of the Steve Silver Show. On tonight's episode, Steve Silver and Bo Reed breakdown the American League division by division, getting you ready for the start of Spring Training 2015. We'll tell just exactly which teams will be there come October plus, which under the radar teams could surprise everyone.
Also on tonight's show we'll recap Super Bowl XLIX, and just what the hell is going on in Cleveland.
As always, phone lines are open all show long, and you can hit up Steve and Bo on Twitter @InsiderSteve and @LTRReed. We'll see you at 4pm PST on The Steve Silver Show.
Good morning everyone, and welcome to a very special Saturday, Super Bowl edition of The Steve Silver Show. On today's show, Bo Reed and Steve Silver break down the big game from both ends of the spectrum. We'll tell which team has a difinitive advantage over the other. We'll also get into the coaching aspect as Pete Carroll goes heads us with the "genius" Bill Belicheck.
We'll also have some fun this morning with prop bets.
Phone lines are open this morning, and you can also hit Steve and Bo up on Twitter @InsiderSteve and @LTRReed. We'll see you at 12pm EST on The Steve Silver Show.
Jeanne Bliss - Jeanne Bliss is a worldwide authority and coach to leadership teams on earning customer driven growth. She works with them to change how they operate to deliver experiences customers want to have and tell others about.
Nate Steck trained French chef and food entrepreneur. He has spent the past 25 years in Food Manufacturing and product development. Nate has developed over 30 food products that have generated over 200 million in revenue. Nate was the Co-founder of Batter Blaster, the Co-Founder of Elena’s Food Specialties and the Founder of Elite foods. His branded and private label products have been featured in most major grocery, specialty and club stores in America. Nate is the President and CEO of Nate’s Homemade which is launching their flagship Pancake & Waffle Batter later this year
Toni Fitzgerald ‘dinky die’ Aussie woman, living in Sydney. She is a Quilly Award Winner, an International Best Selling Author, Founder of the African Charity “Rights of Girls”, and and engaging and passionate Motivational Speaker. She is the only Australian author chosen to contribute to the book ‘Dare to Succeed’, with the legendary Jack Canfield of ‘Chicken Soup for the Soul’ fame. In this book Toni shares her lessons on the value of connecting with both your customers, and perhaps more importantly, with your employees; and how savvy businesses are using this engagement to motivate their employees and foster their initiative
The Steve Silver Show is coming at you tody at 3pm PST with a recap of the National Championship. Was this a clear cut example of Ohio State's dominance, or was Oregon really limited in what they were trying to do. Either way, that game will go down as one of the better National Championships in recent memory.
Also on today's show, Bo Reed and Steve Silver will get you set for Championship weekend in the NFL as the Seattle Seahawks will host the Green Bay Packers and the New England Patriots will host the Indianapolis Colts.
If you like to join the discussion, hit up Steve and Bo on twitter @InsiderSteve and @LTRReed. We'll see you at 3pm on The Steve Silver Show.
Got the mid-August-no-NBA blues? Bummed out because training camp is still a month away? Kobe ruining your day with a Sports Illustrated cover? Well, we got your cure right here!
It's the Silver Screen & Rollcast! A Lakers podcast! In August!
Join Ben Rosales, Drew Garrison and Blake (The Great Mambino), as they not only talk through the various contracts the Lakers doled out this summer, but introduce you to our new staff of writers, as they hop on the pod and chat with the crew.
Get it on with the Silver Screen & Rollcast at 6pm PT/9pm ET!
Our scheduled guests on the February 10, 2015, episode of USCHO Live! are Quinnipiac coach Rand Pecknold, whose No. 13 Bobcats sit atop the ECAC Hockey standings, and College Hockey Inc. deputy executive director Nate Ewell.
About the hosts
Jim Connelly is a senior writer at USCHO.com and has been with the site since 1999. He is based in Boston and regularly covers Hockey East. He began with USCHO.com as the correspondent covering the MAAC, which nowadays is known as Atlantic Hockey. Each week during the season, he co-writes "Tuesday Morning Quarterback." Jim is the winner of the 2012 Joe Concannon award, and is a studio analyst for NESN.
Ed Trefzger has been part of USCHO since 1999 and now serves as a senior writer and director of technology. He has been a part of the radio broadcasts of Rochester Institute of Technology hockey since their inception -- serving as a producer, studio host, color commentator and as RIT's play-by-play voice for eight seasons. Ed is general manager of CBS Sports Radio affiliate 105.5 The Team in Rochester, N.Y., and COO of its parent company, Genesee Media Corporation.
With the offseason all but finished, the SS&R crew takes a look at the moves the Lakers made--both on the roster and off of it--and gives their grades on just how the summer turned out for the Lake Show.
Join Drew Garrison, Ben Rosales and Blake (The Great Mambino) as they dish their thoughts on the Lakers's new free agent pick-ups (or lack therof), trades and plans for the future.
The final Silver Screen & Rollcast of the 2013-2014 season is on tonight at 9pm ET/6pm PT!
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