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"Political science tells us that campaigns are about driving elections towards or away from a natural outcome. When modelers make models, they are trying to predict a ‘natural’ endpoint. There is always the possibility of biasing your actual calculation. Adding in assumptions like fundamentals could be right and could be wrong, but what they represent is basically a hypothesis about where the race ought to be. Making a model like that is a good political science experiment, but we should be clear that we are adding assumptions on top of the polls."Dr Sam Wang
"That model is wrong(Dr Wang's) — not necessarily because it shows Democrats ahead (ours barely shows any Republican advantage), but because it substantially underestimates the uncertainty associated with polling averages and thereby overestimates the win probabilities for candidates with small leads in the polls. This is because instead of estimating the uncertainty empirically — that is, by looking at how accurate polls or polling averages have been in the past — Wang makes several assumptions about how polls behave that don’t check out against the data." Nate Silver
"Political science is Not a science"former President Nixon
After a few guest-less weeks, we've come back with a bang! The anticipation has been building and Raw Sex has been trying a million different formats to please all of it's listeners. We released a new logo, had two weeks without our main man, had lots of wonderful call ins and our favorite is the live tweets during the show!
I figured this episode didn't need a big title, the name speaks for itself! Our guest this week is an adult film star, sex positive advocate, educator, speaker, and gorgeous! Nina Hartley isn't new to the adult film scene, having her first video debut in 1984, so we decided to take this interview on a different path. Instead of asking the same ol questions like "what's your favorite position" or "who would you love to work with" Raw Sex wants to know the intimate vanilla side of Nina, what's her favorite color? Tea or Coffee? Obama or Clinton? McDonalds or BurgerKing? Tune in Thursday night to find out the answers to these questions and so many more, right here ONLY on Raw Sex!
POWERED BY XCLUSIVE JAMZ, FRESH FRIDAYS WITH NATE G. MCFLY IS YOUR PLACE FOR THE NEWEST AND TRUEST IN HIP-HOP AND R&B . FEATURING A CALL-IN SECTION TO CALL IN AND VOICE YOUR OPINION ON ANY OF THE TOPICS OF THE DAY , OR JUST TO GIVE A SHOUT OUT TO YOUR FRIENDS AND FAMILY .
POWERED BY XCLUSIVE JAMZ , FRESH FRIDAYS WITH NATE G MCFLY IS THE ALL NEW RADIO SHOW FOR YOUR FRIDAY NIGHT. FEATURING SOME OF THE NEWEST AND THE TRUEST HIP HOP AND R&B MUSIC FOR EVERY GENERATION TO ENJOY . ALSO YOU CAN CALL IN (657) 383-1848 AND PRESS 1 TO GO LIVE WITH THE FLY GUY . SO COME GET FRESH ON XCLUSIVE JAMZ 'S FRESH FRIDAYS WITH NATE G. MCFLY .
Some Special Guests this Week! Someone from over the pond....yes, from England. And, a company that is from England, but, does Business here in the USA with Greenhouses. It is going to be a lovely morning.....gather round.....bring your FRESH brewed Tea and join us! Thursday, September 18, 2014, at 11:30am, CST time zone. Cheers!
Our First Guest will tell us what it is like to have a Community Garden in England.
We end the Radio Show with Hartley Botanic, Inc. "with pride since 1938". They will tell us about Personal Greenhouses and other product lines for Great Greenhouses. Hartley Botanic, Inc., is partnering with the Prince's Foundation, His Royal Highness the Prince of Wales, to help foster more connections of nature and people and sustaining a good basic lifestyle living in 'the green'. I'm pleased to have this High Quality Group aboard who has a stunningly Gorgeous catalog that you can order for your next Greenhouse. You will love what they have to offer. Great designs, crisp look, and Quality. These Greenhouses are manufactured in England, but, there is Distribution in North America.
Have a Great Community Garden Day!
Mary K. Hukill, Author and Radio Show Host
Purchase "Community Garden Revolution" at AMAZON.com or at your Favorite local Bookstore.
Read my Blog "Community Garden Revolution" and on Facebook at "Community Garden Revolution".
Nate's All American Store ONLINE Retailer is offering 10% OFF your next ONLINE Order in the Garden Section. At the Checkout for Garden Equipment and Tools add in the Code Box "comgar14" and receive 10% OFF your next ONLINE order. THANKS! to Nate's.
ITS TIME FOR YOUR FIX!!!
Donna Walker of The Bigg Chat, along with Romay of STEEL Magazine talks with World Reknown Dancer and Entertainer, Nate Moran about his success as a dancer and his struggles to get there from being once homeless.
FOLLOW US on Facebook: @KickinItWithDonnaAndRo
Nate Marialke is a singer/songwriter from Detroit Michigan who has led multipled thousands upon thousands in worship. Nate will lead worship at this year's Conference for John G. Lake Ministries as he has done on numerous occasions. We will learn more about his NEW ALBUM that is set to be released on June29, 2014
Join us Saturday morning at 10 am EST/9 CT right here on THE HEALING LIGHT SHOW!
Nate DaPore at Lunch with DriveThruHR with @bryanwempen @williamtincup & @thehrbuddy
DriveThruHR was designed to be a captivating and easy-to-digest lunch discourse that covers topics relevant to HR professionals. Each 30-minute episode features a guest speaker who shares her or his knowledge and experience in human resources. Our hosts and special guest cover a wealth of topics, including HR Technology, Recruiting, Talent Management, Leadership, Organizational Culture and Strategic HR, every day at 12:00 pm Central Time. The radio program is hosted by @bryanwempen @williamtincup and @thehrbuddy The #1 HR show, with amazing HR conversations and follow us on the twitters at @drivethruhr and #dthr.